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元器件交易网讯 3月14日消息，据外媒报道，劳动市场将迎来巨大改变，但是比尔盖茨认为，人们似乎并没有准备好接受。
3月13日比尔盖茨在美国企业研究所（the American Enterprise Institute)称，20年内，很多工作将消失，而被软件自动化取代（bots，机器人，是科技俚语，盖茨使用术语软件自动化表述）
下文是摘录他的讲话：
“软件将替换无论是司机、服务员还是护士，这是进步...随着时间的推移，科技将会减少对人力的需求，尤其是在低端技能领域...从现在起20年内，劳动力需求将大大降低。我不认为人们在心里已经有这个意识了。”
他不是唯一一个预测这个前景的人。今年1月，《经济学人》做了一个概要文件名为《未来20年将会被机器人取代的十二大职业》，这包括电话销售、会计师和零售工人。
盖茨认为免税代码需要改变鼓励企业雇佣员工的状况，包括可能完全消除收入和工资税。他也不喜欢提高最低工资，担心它会阻止雇主雇佣工人，受到自动化威胁最大的工作种类
他解释说:“当人们说我们应该提高最低工资。我担心这将对就业带来什么影响……潜在地阻止了对劳力范围的需求，这是我最担心的。”
（元器件交易网董蕾 译）
外媒原文如下：
Big changes are coming to the labor market that people and governments aren"t prepared for, Bill Gates believes.
Speaking at Washington, D.C., economic think tank The American Enterprise Institute on Thursday, Gates said than within 20 years, a lot of jobs will go away, replaced by software automation ("bots" in tech slang, though Gates used the term "software substitution").
This what he said:
"Software substitution, whether it"s for drivers or waiters or nurses … it"s progressing. ... Technology over time will reduce demand for jobs, particularly at the lower end of skill set. ... 20 years from now, labor demand for lots of skill sets will be substantially lower.
I don"t think people have that in their mental model."
He"s not the only one predicting this gloomy scenario for workers. In January, the Economist ran a big profile naming over a dozen jobs sure to be taken over by robots in the next 20 years, including telemarketers, accountants and retail workers.
Gates believes that the tax codes are going to need to change to encourage companies to hire employees, including, perhaps, eliminating income and payroll taxes altogether. He"s also not a fan of raising the minimum wage, fearing that it will discourage employers from hiring workers in the very categories of jobs that are most threatened by automation.
He explained:
"When people say we should raise the minimum wage. I worry about what that does to job creation ... potentially damping demand in the part of the labor spectrum that I"m most worried about."
